Thursday, September 1, 2011

Civil conflicts are associated with ENSO-driven climate change

" Using data from 1950 to 2004, we show that the probability of new civil conflicts arising throughout the tropics doubles during El Niño years relative to La Niña years. This result, which indicates that ENSO may have had a role in 21% of all civil conflicts since 1950, is the first demonstration that the stability of modern societies relates strongly to the global climate (Nature)."

Update: Here is a similar paper, which found a strong correlation between natural disaster and terrorism.

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